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GLP-1 Weight Loss Projection

See projected weight loss based on published clinical trial data from STEP and SURMOUNT studies. These are average results — individual outcomes vary.

Projected Efficacy (STEP 1)
-32.8 lbs
Target Weight: 187.2 lbs · 14.9% body weight lost

Clinical Trajectory

222214207199191183Wk 0Wk 12Wk 24Wk 36Wk 48Wk 60Wk 72
Treatment WeekMonth% ReductionWeight (lbs)
Wk 4Month 1-2%215.6
Wk 12Month 3-6%206.8
Wk 20Month 5-10.6%196.7
Wk 28Month 6-12%193.6
Wk 36Month 8-13%191.4
Wk 52Month 12-14.5%188.1
Wk 68Month 16-14.9%187.2
Wk 72Month 17-14.9%187.2

Population Outcomes (STEP 1)

Lost ≥5% (11+ lbs)86.4%
Lost ≥10% (22+ lbs)69.1%
Lost ≥15% (33+ lbs)50.5%
Lost ≥20% (44+ lbs)32%

Type 2 diabetes affects results

People with T2D typically lose less weight on the same medications. Semaglutide 2.4 mg: -14.9% (no T2D) vs -9.6% (T2D). Tirzepatide 15 mg: -22.5% vs -14.7%.

These are averages

Individual results vary significantly. In STEP 1, ~32% of people lost 20%+ while ~14% lost less than 5%. Diet, exercise, and genetics all play a role.

Weight loss isn't linear

You'll lose fastest in months 1-3, then slow gradually. Most people plateau between weeks 52-68. This is normal — the medication is still working.

Stopping means regain

In STEP 1, people who stopped semaglutide regained about two-thirds of lost weight within a year. These medications typically require ongoing use.

Medical disclaimer: These projections are based on average results from published clinical trials (STEP 1, STEP 2, SURMOUNT-1, SURMOUNT-2) and are for educational purposes only. Individual results vary significantly based on diet, exercise, genetics, medical history, and medication adherence. This tool does not constitute medical advice. Consult a licensed healthcare provider for personalized guidance.
Sources: Wilding et al., NEJM 2021 (STEP 1); Davies et al., Lancet 2021 (STEP 2); Jastreboff et al., NEJM 2022 (SURMOUNT-1); Garvey et al., Lancet 2023 (SURMOUNT-2).

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